Sunday, April 14, 2013
Open Letter to NYRA's Dr. David Skorton
Friday, March 16, 2012
Cheltenham Gold Cup Day 2012
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Not Your Father's Aqueduct?
I went to Aqueduct Racetrack yesterday to see some promising three-year olds in The Withers Stakes. I was also mildly curious about the new casino attached to the track. While casinos themselves hold no interest for me, their potential support for horse racing does. In particular, I like the idea that the new gaming legislation in Massachusetts might save the racing operations at Suffolk Downs. Readers can see photos of and read about my experiences at Suffolk in earlier blog posts here.
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
Santa Anita Trip Notes
Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Saratoga Jumpstart 2010
Final Straw, a 4yo gelding, in the paddock.
Leaving the paddock on the way to the track.
View of the Winner's Circle.
The field approaches the second fence in Race 1.
The field taking fence #2 in the second race.
Quiet Approval winning the fourth race, a $25,000 Allowance.
Danielle Hodsdon up on Parker's Project in the Winner's Circle after Race 3.
Winning jockey Danielle Hodsdon and a young fan,
Jockey Roderick Mackenzie looking a little grim - before the race.
What the real journalists were wearing. Noted author Bill Heller. See the Weekend Getaway post (February 10, 2010) for what he looks like in Florida.
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Action from Suffolk Downs. Race 6 on June 7, 2010
Thursday, June 3, 2010
Media Criticism #3
If only this were true. After spending some years of my professional life teasing stories out of data, I took an interest in horse racing under just that assumption. I thought that with the proper analytical framework, the rich mine of data available in The Daily Racing Form and other sources would yield at least a modest return on investment (ROI).
As I learned more about horse racing, I came to find that even the best handicappers (those who study past performances, pedigree, track biases, etc.) correctly predict the outcome only about forty percent of the time. If by “markets” Surowiecki means the run of horseplayers generally, the answer is even more dismal. The preference of the “market” of parimutuel bettors is displayed by the final odds on the various horses in a race, with the lowest odds attached to the “favorite.” Historically “favorites” have won only about one-third of the time. More disheartening, flat bets on all favorites will inevitably produce a negative ROI over time.
In his blog entry of February 25, 2010, Steven Crist, Publisher of The Daily Racing Form wrote “…it turns out that the ancient rule of thumb that favorites win one-third of all races may need a longer thumb: In 2009, favorites in fact won 36.66 percent of the 55,984 thoroughbred races run in the United States and Canada.” Crist looked at 71 racetracks where the percentage of winning favorites ranged from a high of 42.73% to a low of 25.91%. While he did not report on ROI, I strongly suspect that it was negative in all cases of flat bets on favorites.
I would love to be found wrong, as would many who share my enthusiasm and frustration with handicapping. I invite Mr.Surowiecki to join me (my treat) to an afternoon at the racetrack of his choice. Saratoga is nice, and I have heard many good things about Del Mar, as well.
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
The Wood Memorial





At Aqueduct for the Wood Memorial – April 3, 2010
Track listed as “Fast”. Visible sheen on the outside edge. So much steam rising from the harrowed portion that you could not see the first turn from the grandstand at 1:30.
Steady head wind for stretch runners all day.
By the time of The Wood Memorial you could see your breath.
The best seats in the house, Section 3-J were available all day. For Free. Free Parking! Aqueduct/NYRA could only attract about 8,500 people to this. The second tier of the sport. In the largest metro area in the country.
Eskendereya – looked slow in the paddock. Had two handlers, but no seeming need. Not snappy.
As I watched the post parade, a guy came up to me and wanted to talk. Said he had NEVER seen anyone in a G1 with front wraps. WHAT was going on with Eskendereya? He could only remember one time, in the Belmont,….
I tried to ignore him and he left me kind of rudely. Eskendereya wins by a ton. (9+ lengths) Tried to find the guy but no luck.
Reminds me that the track exceeds even the prison yard for the intensity of the baloney being served. Everyone is a liar. Everyone is deceiving or self-deceiving, or both.
“I would’a had that,but….”
“I had that one, I just didn’t bet him.”
“I had that one last time, remember, I crushed it.”
“Johnny on the rail!! Johnny on the rail!!”
The difference here is, New Yorkers don’t just have opinions, they have OPINIONS. Add 100% baloney to in-your-face arrogance and you get a long afternoon.
Thursday, March 18, 2010
Media Criticism
http://www.boston.com/sports/other_sports/horse_racing/articles/2010/03/02/a_run_for_his_money/
I read the story and sidebar and thought that others, who don’t see The Globe, might be interested. I shared the on-line version with a group of racing fans and handicappers at a blog I contribute to. The reaction was an almost deafening silence.
This got me thinking. Was the information so “old hat” to these people they did not bother to read or react? Were the charges and countercharges so commonplace in racing that no-one cared any more? It caused me to go back and re-read the piece. I think I know why some at least did not seem to care. It is just not very good journalism.
The article and the sidebar take up a very large chunk of real estate in The Globe, roughly 1 ½ pages out of a total of 7 in the Sports section that day or about 20 % of the entire news hole for the section. I calculated about 176 column inches devoted to the text and accompanying photos. And yet the article really came to no useful conclusion, nor did it allow the reader to draw a conclusion. What was the reader to take away? I think the evidence is clear that the majority of The Globe’s sports readers care very little about thoroughbred racing. If more cared, and they cared more passionately, The Globe would provide better coverage. This makes the sheer size of this particular piece more striking and leads to higher expectations.
What the reader gets is a very long list of accusations and counter accusations, with very little in the way of facts, and almost no sense of real pursuit of the story by The Globe. The story seems to be limited to a series of statements about “controversies.” Does The Globe routinely devote so much space to people’s interest in controversy? Would the science editors devote so much attention to “teaching the controversy” about Darwinism? Is it newsworthy in itself that not everyone at the racetrack is a choirboy? Dog bites man.
This problem begins to be illustrated by the two photo captions on the first page – an assertion by an owner at Penn National and a counter-assertion by Gill. Gill says he has been accused of a “crime” but The Globe does very little to clarify.
The lead paragraph attempts to set a context of threat and mystery, but does not follow up. Did Gill show the Globe the “multiple death threats?” Did Gill share these with law enforcement? The reader is in the dark.
The events surrounding the death of Casual Comfort and the jockeys’ action at Penn National are described, but again, the story is more concerned with “controversy” than fact-finding. And so we begin with the back and forth.
Penn National says 10 horses down.
Gill says six. Well, which is it?
Gill says Penn National has a bad surface.
Penn National says they routinely maintain it. Well, which is it?
Gill says he will sell out.
The Globe says he has said this before. Conclusion?
Jockey Sosa says Gill doesn’t care.
Gill “scoffs .” Conclusion?
Gill says his breakdown percentage is low.
Penn National says it is high. Well, which is it?
Ex-trainer Ferris asserts bad “horsemanship.”
Gill says he doesn’t remember her. What should the reader think? This is literally she said/he said.
Maggi Moss challenges Gill to document his actions with retired racehorses.
Gill “slaps a thick pile of 2009 receipts… .”
Did The Globe even look at the “receipts,” let alone follow up? The reader has no idea.
Mike Catalano “believes” Gill is honest.
Does The Globe know or tell the reader that Mike Catalano (Jr.) once worked for Gill?
Readers might want to know that Catalano (Jr.) was called to account by the Delaware Thoroughbred Racing Commission (October 21, 2008) for having two of his horses break down on the same day.
Gill says he sued Delaware for antitrust, and that Delaware settled.
Did this happen? Did The Globe follow up? Guess we will never know.
PA humane police say Gill’s farm operation is “perfect.”
The Globe introduces his pending divorce.
Is this balance for balance’s sake?
Massachusetts has “findings of fact” against his mortgage business.
Gill says “not….fraud.”
Is this the same thing?
The Globe reports a 2001 drug violation at Suffolk Downs.
Gill claims trainer’s responsibility.
How was this resolved? Globe readers are still looking to find out.
In the sidebar on Casual Comfort, we read,
“Gill …. declared persona non grata at six racetracks”
Which ones? When? On what grounds? We are still in the dark.
“He claims…. , critics claim.” No attempt to resolve competing claims.
While I am sure that The Globe considers its readers to be sophisticated and analytical enough to draw conclusions from facts, there are precious few facts in the 176 column inches devoted to horse racing and Michael Gill. Many more are to be found at the website below.
http://www.paulickreport.com/blog/gills-gang-of-misfits/
Ultimately, I think The Globe fails its readers by failing to provide a point of view. Is this an article about a businessman who is afraid for his family because of multiple death threats, or merely a story about “horseplay” at the racetrack?
Monday, February 22, 2010
Looking Forward
Get Ready Sports Fans
Now that the Winter Olympics are over and we can start to think about the upcoming spring and summer sports season, a little comparison of two venerable Boston institutions may be in order. Both the Red Sox of Fenway Park and the ponies/jockeys from Suffolk Downs are in their winter quarters in Florida. The Sox are in Fort Myers (in Lee County, foreclosure capital of the USA) and some of the Suffolk crowd is at Tampa Bay Downs (Home of the Manatee Stakes).
Let’s see how the facilities stack up:
Opening Day
Fenway Park– April 4 (Easter Sunday)
Suffolk Downs- May 1 (May Day)
Advantage - If you really need an excuse not to help with the dishes – Fenway.
History
Fenway Park - Opened in 1912, and is the oldest active venue in professional sports.
Suffolk Downs - Opened in July of 1935 with the first concrete grandstand in America.
Advantage – Fenway
Capacity
Fenway Park - Listed at 37,400, though this may underestimate the true numbers. Every game since May 15, 2003 has sold out.
Suffolk Downs - High single-day attendance listed at 52,726 (August 10, 1935). Last sell-out hard to determine since they don’t even use the turnstiles most days.
Advantage – Suffolk, if you actually want to just go to a sporting event.
Weird Coincidence
Fenway Park - Red Sox once owned by former Sox trainer, Buddy Leroux
Suffolk Downs - Suffolk Downs once owned by former Sox trainer, Buddy Leroux
Advantage – Toss-up
What the Get-A-Lifers do in the off-season
Fenway Park - The Hot Stove League and WEEI.
Suffolk Downs - Simulcasting from Aqueduct and Tampa.
Advantage – Toss-up
Retirement Options for Athletes
Fenway Park - Appearing at Scott Brown’s victory party and opening sports bars.
Suffolk Downs - Retiring to stud.
Advantage – Suffolk
What you will hear from the drunks in the cheap seats
Fenway Park - “Wakefield you s***”
Suffolk Downs - “Bocachica you s***”
Advantage – Toss-up. Neither has any connection with reality.
Announcer
Fenway Park -Carl Beane
Suffolk Downs - T. D. Thornton
Advantage – Suffolk. Thornton has one of the toughest jobs in sports, and Beane is no Sherm Feller.
The Crowd
Fenway Park - Well-heeled suburbanites from all over New England, sprinkled with very attractive college girls.
Suffolk Downs - Guys dodging work, guys who never worked, excitable Rastas, elderly Chinese couples, college guys learning to smoke cigars
Advantage – Fenway by a nose
Convenience
Fenway Park - Has a T stop named after it. Average parking cost (2009) $27.00.
Suffolk Downs - Has a T stop named after it. General Parking is free.
Advantage – Fenway by T, Suffolk by car – Toss-up.
Chance of some competitors using banned performance-enhancing drugs
Fenway Park - Greater than zero.
Suffolk Downs - Greater than zero.
Advantage – Toss-up
Music
Fenway Park - Sir Paul McCartney played to record-setting crowds August 5 and 6, 2009.
Cheapest ticket was $69.
Suffolk Downs - Paul McCartney and three guys who needed haircuts played to 25,000 on August 18, 1966. Cheapest ticket was $4.75
Advantage – Suffolk
Cost
Fenway Park -The well-respected 2009 TMR Fan Cost Index estimated the cost of a family trip for four (2 adult tickets, 2 child tickets, 2 small draft beers, 4 small sodas, 4 hot dogs, parking for one car, 2 programs and two ball caps).
Total - $326.45.
Suffolk Downs - 4 tickets – Maximum of $8. No charge on most days. Sit anywhere you want. OK to smoke outside. 2 (16 oz.) draft beers - $ 9.50, 4 sodas - $9, 4 hot dogs - $11, Parking – free, 2 programs - $4, 2 souvenir caps - $30 (est.)
Total - $71.50
Advantage – Suffolk by $254.95
Chance of your fellow patrons pitching in to reward your knowledge of the game with the price of a nice dinner and a limo ride home.
Fenway Park - Zero
Suffolk Downs - Not zero. This could actually happen. Pari-mutuel wagering really does work this way - for the winners.
Advantage – Suffolk
Final Score
Fenway Park– 3
Suffolk Downs – 6
Toss-ups – 5
Have fun whatever you decide!
Sunday, October 18, 2009
Steeplechase Racing at Geneseo
I was going to be in western New York last weekend anyway, so I thought I would go to see the races at the Genesee Valley Hunt in Geneseo. This was facilitated by Joe Clancy of The Steeplechase Times and by the folks at the National Steeplechase Association. I was of two minds about wearing my freelance journalist hat. I had the concerns expressed above, and the consideration that this was partly a social event for me and I would not be entirely free to do as I wished.
Thus arose the problem of how to dress. I know what I wear to the track, but this did not seem right. I know what journalists wear, but I hardly had anything shabby enough. I had no idea what this kind of hunter/horseman might wear. As it turns out I needn't have worried. No-one cared, almost everyone was dressed for comfort, and besides, I have no idea where to buy those wide-wale corduroys in that particular shade of deep gold.
We arrived ahead of the NSA sponsored (and non-wagering) events and watched the young Cara Peters win the Stockhorse Sprint aboard Ace, a 13 year old gelding. That the trophy was presented by her grandparents typified the low-key and friendly atmosphere of the day.
The next race was the $10, 000 Martha S. Wadsworth Memorial run over two loops of the course and over 15 or 16 timber fences. These are emphatically not the kind of thing you see watching racing from England or Ireland where the horses scrape through some brush. It is also very much not the kind of thing you see at the Olympics where even a slight touch will knock down a lightly poised rail. These are sturdy constructions of horizontal poles on a frame about four feet high. They are SOLID.
The listed field of six had some pre-race scratches and only four starters went to the line. Steeplechases are run at a very different pace than racing on the flat. Longer distances, jumps, bigger jocks, all slow things down. The course seemed even longer than the 1 1/2 miles it was supposed to be. All of the spectators were clustered at the finish line, on both sides of the course. A small stand for officials and others was on the outside of the course at the line. Spectators stood or sat in lawn chairs. Some sat/stood on the beds of trucks both in the infield and the "outfield".
The normal racing dangers to riders and mounts are intensified by the jumps. A jockey was unseated in the Wadsworth, though he appeared to manage it alright. Since this was partly a family occasion, I did not handicap the entries or pay all that much attention to finish times. The first picture below shows Justin Batoff aboard the winner, Prospectors Strike as they clear the fence at the judges stand.
The other NSA event was the $25,000 Genesee Valley Hunt Cup. Even more scratches in this one, leading to a three horse field. Again, some (to me) slow going along more than two circuits of this very long, undulating turf course. I would guess that only from the judges stand could anyone see the whole course. Another rider unseated on a jump. A terrific crack as a horse hit the fence in front of me, breaking the top rail. The second snapshot below has the winner, Irish Prince with Jody Petty up, preparing to take a fence.
Steeplechasing in a hunt club setting will never be confused with thousands of fans at Saratoga rooting their choices home, or with the bleak emptiness of Suffolk Downs on a rainy Monday. These each have a charm of their own to me. I guess I will have to try jump racing a few more times and see if there is a fit. It certainly qualifies as a fun day out with nice people.













